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NAR's "Baghdad Bob" Confesses

This is just too good to be missed!

Via Matt Heaton (Timu Corp - CEO, ActiveRain - Co-founder):

You remember "Baghdad Bob" from the Iraq War, right?  Iraq's information minister who repeatedly claimed no American troops in Baghdad as US tanks patrolled only hundreds of yards from his studio.  Well the NAR's very own Baghdad Bob, former Chief Economist, David Lereah was notorious for his bullish optimism during the peak of the housing bubble now admits in a Money Magazine article it was just spin.

As chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, David Lereah was famously optimistic. Now a private consultant, he’s abandoned what he calls the “positive spin.

Q: Were you wrong to be so bullish?

A: I worked for an association promoting housing, and it was my job to represent their interests. If you look at my actual forecasts, the numbers were right inline with most forecasts. The difference was that I put a positive spin on it It was easy to do during boom times, harder when times weren’t good. I never thought the whole national real estate market would burst.

Who could have guessed?  Yes, that's sarcasm, but unfortunately, due to his title as Chief Economist for the largest housing related organization the vast majority listening took the spin as truth and continued to propagate the (dis)information.  This is similar to all of those "Chief Economists", and "Analysts" at investment banks that will produce report after report for public consumption about how great things are while their internal analysis is very different.  Their job titles are crafted to make them sound independent while at the same time their jobs are really to be their companies propaganda ministers.

What's really ironic is this spin was happening at the same time the NAR was trying to promote Realtors as a trusted source of information.  Seems kinda counter productive doesn't it.  More importantly how does this spinning really benefit the real estate industry?  Are Realtors really better off in having a housing market of booms and busts as opposed to a more stable market?

Comments

Yeah, puts some doubt out there about the public awareness campaign we are all paying for!  Just got my new magazine, and it has an outline of the newest batch of them...it is too bad such a nice campaign will have this dark cloud over it.

Posted by Pat Tasker, Your Milwaukee Metro Area Agent (WI) (Shorewest Realtors) over 3 years ago

It is too bad that our "national voice" that most of us are forced to pay dues to in order to practice is so shamelessly shilling fake advice. 

Posted by Kent Simpson 520.302.5368 Tucson Homes Land & Investment (Tierra Antigua Realty - Downtown) over 3 years ago

We all need to be positive but the truth is something we need to be known for and even if it is not what we want to hear we need to hear it.

Posted by Terry+Bonnie Westbrook Westbrook Realty Grand Rapids Forest Hills MI Real Estate (Westbrook Realty Broker-Owner) over 3 years ago

Kent,

I could not have said it better myself, "It is too bad that our "national voice" that most of us are forced to pay dues to in order to practice is so shamelessly shilling fake advice."

There are good people at the NAR, but their "voice" is damaging. 

Posted by Mark MacKenzie Real Estate Planning over 3 years ago

You are right Eleanor, it is too good to be missed.

 

Posted by Fred Chamberlin - Oak Harbor/Whidbey's #1 Experienced FHA Mortgage Consultant (Guild Mortgage Co - Oak Harbor WA) over 3 years ago

And how much of our annual dues goes to pay this guy's salary?

Tell the truth Baghdad Bob.

Whether the public wants to hear it or not, it's our responsibility to do the right thing.

Posted by Craig Rutman Raleigh/ Cary/ Apex area Realtor (Helping people in transition) over 3 years ago

Eleanor - I read about you on Leesa's blog - and just wanted to come by and say hi!  Great synopsis!

Posted by Liz Moras ~ Chilliwack Realtor, Garrison Crossing,Chilliwack, Abbotsford (Harrison Hot Springs, Cultus Lake) over 3 years ago

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